Tom Rockliff Supercoach 2017

Filed in Community Series, Supercoach, Supercoach 2017 by on November 19, 2016 • views: 3667

tom rockliff  supercoach

Hitler, Putin, Trump – these names are synonymous with some of the most feared regimes in history.

But we can now add another name to the list – Mathieson. Like the rise of Donald Trump in the US, Rhys Mathieson has quickly ascended to power at Brisbane and is currently ruling over the Lions with an iron fist.

Mathieson is already imposing his will on his team-mates, demanding that they “get around him” at every opportunity and installing a policy in which every Brisbane goal must be acknowledged with his famous “shot gun” celebration.

As Jock has previously flagged, it is not out of the question that Rhys takes over as Captain-Coach for the Lions next season, should he decide Chris Fagen is not up to the job.

What this spells, my friends, is trouble for Tom Rockliff. Rocky once assumed the mantle of top dog at the Lions, but the sudden emergence of Mathieson has overshadowed him significantly.

How will this impact on Rockliff’s Supercoach game in 2017? Let’s take a look at Tom’s numbers last season:

2017 Supercoach Price: $603,900
2017 Position: MID
Games in 2016: 17
Average in 2016: 111.1
100+ games in 2016: 11
Sub 80 games in 2016: 2
Price range in 2016: $463K – $585K
Missed games last season: Missed rounds 3-5 and 8-10 with hamstring/leg injuries
Significant history:
  • Drafted with pick 5 of the 2008 pre season draft by the Brisbane Lions
  • Highest averaging player overall in 2014 going at 132 per match
  • Only three times in the past eight seasons has he played 20 or more games

PODCAST: TWO TEAMS SUPERCOACH ANALYSED EVERY WEEK

There is no doubting Tom Rockliff’s ability. The man is born ball magnet who is capable of racking up 35+ possession games with alarming regularity. When fully fit, he is one of the most consistent SuperCoach scorers in the game.

Rocky’s injury problems have been well documented. There’s no doubt he will need to improve this facet of his game if the majority of coaches are to trust him again. But let’s take a look at his form at the back half of 2016, after returning from a two separate injury stints. From Round 11 onwards, he scored 204, 104, 130, 100, 92, 130, 154, 81, 120, 159, 102 and 133 to finish off the season. During this period, his average was 125.75. They are stunning numbers.

Jock Reynolds Supercoach Magazine 2017

RISK FACTOR

Clearly, durability is the main issue here. Tom’s body is bloody frail. He has missed a whopping 15 games in the past three seasons.

Last year, Rockliff burnt his owners several times. Coming off a severely limited pre season, he injured his hamstring during Brisbane’s Round 2 match – resulting in a low return of 48 SC. After missing two weeks, he played three more matches before reinjuring the same hammy in Round 7 – resulting in a score of 41 SC and another three weeks on the sidelines.

At 600K, he won’t come cheap and will have plenty of other top-liners to content who have more reliable bodies – Danger, Pendles etc.

SELECTION PURPOSE

If you pick him, you are selecting Rocky for his consistent scoring and high ceiling. This makes him a bona fide VC and C option every week. If he doesn’t get injured, he will rarely let you down scoring-wise. Even on a bad day he will give you a 90 or 100.

Despite being injury-riddled, he has demonstrated an impressive ability to hit the ground running when he returns from a break. Tom actually boldly predicted he would go 180+ in the lead up to his Round 11 comeback match after a three-week injury lay off. He had 48 touches and scored 204.

Picking Rocky is without a doubt a high-risk, high-reward play. The overall winner of SuperCoach last season had the balls to pick him coming off of two injury stints, when few others had any trust in him. Rocky rewarded him with a double ton.

THE GOOD

  • Gun midfielder who consistently finds the pill
  • Proven SuperCoach pedigree – had the leading overall average in 2014
  • Loves dominating in a crap side
  • Teams don’t feel the need to tag him – Zorko, Rich and Beams ahead in pecking order
  • Huge ceiling – one 200+ score and two 150+ scores last season

THE DOWNSIDE

  • Poor durability – regularly gets injured and has missed 15 games in the past three seasons
  • Efficiency sometimes below par – has games with high possession counts but low SC return
  • Will a new coach and the return of Dayne Beams impact his role?
  • How will his performance be impacted by the Rhys Mathieson regime?

THE VERDICT

Even though he will be priced at 600K, I believe there is still some value in Rockliff. If you take out the two injury-impacted scores in the 40s last season, his average would have been considerably higher. If he can stay fit and play the majority of games next season, he will be a top eight SC midfielder without a doubt. But given his extensive injury history, that is a big ‘if’. There is also the Mathieson factor to consider.

STRONGLY CONSIDER – provided he looks fit and has a strong pre season

What are your thoughts on Tom Rockliff?

Carlos

One of the great blokes of our community. Follow him here: @CarlPfeiffer9 
 
Jock Reynolds Coach KingsThis article has been penned as part of the Jock Reynolds Community Series, where anyone from within our proud community can have their say in front of their peers. These men and women have displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.

BROWSE OUR DAILY PLAYER REVIEWS HERE


Tom Rockliff Community Poll:

Where are you at with Tom Rockliff in 2017?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

 

Tags: , , ,

Comments (25)

Trackback URL | Comments RSS Feed

  1. Bill says:

    His scoring potential is as high as anyone's, but I cant bring myself to shell out 600k for a bloke that I cant trust to stay on the park

  2. throttlefinger says:

    Excellent review, C.

    Problem I have with Rocky is that he's a trade burner. Fool me once and all. Got the high hard rod the last years by not saving trades. Part of the plan to save better is not putting my arms around Rocky and his outstanding SC potential. Will be sacrificing the odd 150+ score but will be saving trades in the end.

    Only way he makes earns a Throtts guernsey is if he dips well below $500K. Otherwise ol' Rocky and his Trumpian eye has earned the year off my squad.

  3. CJ84 says:

    He would need to be a beaming specimen of fitness at the start of 2017 season for mine. great footballer, tough and keeps on going – got no questions at all regarding SC output.

  4. @N_Zvezdak says:

    Great read, well done.

  5. Kev says:

    Great work, C. Won't be going near him to start. You need a solid start to succeed in this business and 600k makes me nervous as he's way too injury prone. Will target after his bye, in 2015 and 2016 he's come home with a 120+ average

  6. I N Pieman says:

    The only thing he's consistent at is finishing like a freight train. I won't be selecting him at 600 with that injury history. But I'll have a close eye on him post byes. No one finishes stronger. Nice work Carlos

    • TRIGGER HAPPY says:

      Discussed this one with INP in a previous thread.

      Most likely wont start him but will be a post bye upgrade.

      As INP said he comes home like a freight train every year and you wanna be on the train and not on the tracks when the train is coming through!

      different look at things Carlos. I like it. didn't have much idea young matho was causing such a stink.
      have spoon will stir.

    • Moustachio says:

      Number one bye upgrade for mine too, great that he has the first major bye round, should give him enough time to do the standard get injured and recover twice

  7. Westy says:

    I've obviously missed the Rhys Mathieson back story.
    Is there a link on Wikipedia?

  8. Nathan says:

    I'd lean towards beams over rocky
    His price should be lower and 'if' on the park can score just as well but with a little more consistency

  9. chris jowitt says:

    You've been drinking too much of the Kool Aid to say Trump and Putin are some of the most feared regimes in history. For starters, Trumps regime has not even begun so how can he be lumped in there. Perhaps you think the regimes of Assad, Gadaffi, Hussein, Stalin etc were all peace, love and understanding.

  10. neil demonsdelight says:

    Burnt me too often Carlos. Preseason form the key to him but a dozen bona fida mids in front.Falls into that Libba type category WATCH AND MAYBE POST BYE..interesting choice and report got me thinking

  11. T-Bag. says:

    Let's keep it simple lads, NFW!

  12. Waz says:

    I'm really glad people don't trust him enough to include him in their starting team. Unlucky with the types of injury he had, will go big in game 1. 600 is cheap, if he stays fit he won't ever be much cheaper than that and few premos can go as big. Round 1, pin colada, banana lounge and rocky ton all parcelled up.

    • Kev says:

      Unlucky yes. Any player is unlucky to get injured. My concern is his injuries are all in the same area. It's a chronic problem for him

  13. Gaveday says:

    Nice read Carlos. I'm referencing your article in my next one, for me Rocky is a no, he'll fall below 600k at some point, probably get injured and give you a filthy 55 when you slug the capt on him.