Cam Guthrie Supercoach 2017

Filed in AFL, AFL Fantasy 2017, Community Series, Supercoach, Supercoach 2017 by on November 1, 2016 • views: 2319

cameron-guthrie-supercoachConsistent point scorer – will he break into the elite in 2017?

by Jambo

At the departure of the Great Gary Jnr, the Cats anointed Cam Guthrie with the famed No. 29 jumper. Ever since, he has moved onto our fantasy radar in recent years. Geelong players and staff would be delighted how young Cam has performed thus far.

He started out in defence then added a part-time tagger to his resume. He transitioned into the midfield in 2015 and jumped onto the cusp of a fantasy premium. However, his average dropped back to his 2014 average with the recruitment of Paddy Dangerfield. With the retirement of gun, Jimmy Bartel and the departure of Josh Caddy, there’s a real chance of seeing Cam Guthrie playing on the wing next year.

2017 Est. Price: $463,000
2017 Est. Position: MID/DEF note from Jock, now confirmed MID only
Games last season: 21
Average in 2016: 85.1
100+ games last season: 7
Sub 80 games last season: 9
Price range in 2016: $359K – $524K
Missed games last season: Round 13 with illness
Significant history:
  • 2014: 80.1
  • 2015: 97.1
  • 2016: 85.1
  • Pick #23 in 2010 AFL National Draft

Jock Reynolds Supercoach Magazine 2017

Geelong coaches remain tight-lipped about Cam Guthrie’s role for next year. During the last six games of 2016 season, he averaged 86.3, not great for Supercoach.

RISK FACTOR

In Classic Supercoach circles, anyone will make a great gamble should they pick young Cam, especially if he remains a MID only.

There is a chance that Chris Scott might leave young Cam in the backline and anoint him as ‘Boris’ Enright’s successor. If he’s MID only, then you might end up pulling your hair out and screaming at the TV for Guthrie to do something. He does have one or two games whereupon he seemingly ‘disappears’ like Wally in ‘Where’s Wally’.

SELECTION PURPOSE

In Supercoach Classic, if he’s a defence/midfield DPP (confirmed now MID only), then he would be a no-brainer to pick in defence. If not, then as a point-of-difference.

In Supercoach Elite, he’s one of those players that could drop in the pecking order and prove handy. In CoachKings, Cam Guthrie is a lock.

THE GOOD

  • With the retirement of Jimmy Bartel and the departure of Josh Caddy, this young fella may yet receive more time in the midfield.
  • Yes, he has spent a far chunk of his career either covering down back or tagging key players out of the game. On the other hand, during the last six games of the 2015 H&A Season, Cam averaged 123.16 SC points. This is impressive. One would be wise never to presume that Cam will score similar numbers next year or that he will actually spend more time in the midfield.
  • The return of Jackson Thurlow from injury and the pick up of Zach Tuohy will likely provide young Cam Guthrie the opportunity to run through the midfield. Just food for thought. He’s also a super-consistent scorer.

THE BAD

  • With the retirement of Corey ‘Boris’ Enright, Cam Guthrie might be required to hold down a negating role to mitigate the loss of leadership down back.
  • He made 61 clangers. That is 2.65 a game. So, if he does get more midfield time, then you can expect more of the same by way of clangers.

THE VERDICT

If Mid only, probably only consider as a POD. If Def/Mid DPP, then lockity-lock. He is only 24 and in a rebuilding Geelong outfit, he may breakout as an elite premium.

IF DPP, YES

IF NOT DPP, NO

Jambo

Jock Reynolds Coach KingsThis article has been penned as part of the Jock Reynolds Community Series, where anyone from within our proud community can have their say in front of their peers. These men and women have displayed the spirit of togetherness, positivity and community that we value significantly.

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Comments (20)

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  1. Jack says:

    Great write up! He ticks a lot of boxes, but only if DPP.
    Geelong is a team I see with the potential to have a player or 2 push up to premiuim level. Main reason is who they have lost. Bartel, Enright & Caddy all averaged 90+ last year, so there's loads of points on offer. Scott Selwood is there for tagging duties now too, which should free up Guthrie.
    Interested to hear from Geelong fans as to what role he had at the end of 2015 and the likelihood of him retaining this role in 2017, especially with the players who have left?

  2. Kev says:

    Bang on, Jambo. Plenty of opportunity at the cats this year, someone will need to step up. Will need to get a look at his role before committing but a def dpp running through the middle is gold

  3. I N Pieman says:

    Like it Jambo. With DPP he becomes an option. Usually we are tearing our hair out trying to find some defenders. But no more. The emergence of doch the lock, JJ, Zac Williams pittard & we are spoilt for choice down back. As Kev said DPP & running through the guts would be mighty tempting

  4. neil demonsdelight says:

    Great stuff Jambo Turns the pill over too much and poor decision maker .too many good def to even consider with dpp.400 PLUS makes it too me Bartel filled that role to perfection last year but this guy is too much like Yeo NO

  5. neil says:

    sorry makes it to hard for me

  6. Patch says:

    Love this, Jambo. One from far left-field and one that's absolutely piqued my interest

    • Jambo says:

      Thanks, Patch! Let us hope he gets DPP aye.

      • jockreynolds says:

        I'm with Patch. You've absolutely got this old bastards ears to prick up. Had not been on my radar until you sent this one in Jambo. I reckon he'll be on a preseason watch list for me which I assess his role – have to say he's an unlikely starter in the squad, but looking forward to having a good hard look at him over the preseason. Sensational write up Jam Man.

  7. gaveday says:

    It's the sub 80 games that are concerning. No for me.

  8. richard says:

    This bloke must step up in 2017 otherwise he will be shown the door.Mitch Duncan is the other mid that's got to pull his finger out.Cat's can't rely on Danger & Selwood to get the job done.Cat's were really found out in the prelim in the midfield.

  9. BarronVonCrow says:

    Very interesting, Jambo.

    Looks like we may be getting quite a few of these guys with DDP who are right on the edge of being slightly too expensive to take a punt on. It's going to make for some selection headaches for sure!

    • jockreynolds says:

      Yes that's a corker of a point Baz. Such a tough price point on him and a lot of other blokes are in the same ball park. Could be best to leave them all alone and dare I bloody say it once again – G&R it up

  10. Trevor says:

    I'm in agreement with Niel Demonsdelight Plus touhy and Henderson will probably slot into cats back line so he'll have limited opportunity there. Surprised that the cats didn't try to trade him

    • neil says:

      forgot about touhy think hendo will play forward with Kersten and maybe Vardy.In my opinion they traded the wrong one Caddy would be a much better player and fit better than Guthrie Cheers

  11. neil says:

    with Kersten / Vardy gone

  12. Steeeve says:

    A chance if he gets DPP but too inconsistent for mine.