Carnage. Absolute carnage. Like every season, you had into finals with a few trades up your sleeve to prepare for the odd injury. But no way can we prepare for the outs this week, and these outs are handy point scorers on their day.
Those in a preliminary final have been dealt a dodgy hand, but take solace in fact your opponent will be crippled too. If you’re going for the outright win, it’s a bloody crap deck you’ve been dealt – but push on, there may be someone higher ranked worse off than you.
Let’s try salvaging some of this mess.
GET HIM IN
Harley Bennell (GCS) MID – $489,700 SC
- Next 2 Games: ESS (A), WCE (H)
- Recent Scores: 110, 93, 35, 115, 99, 144
- Breakeven: 50
While the likes of David Swallow and Dion Prestia have totally withered under the pressure of no Gaz, Harley Bennell has stepped up to help fill the void somewhat. He was excellent on the weekend, despite the loss – gathering 27 touches, 2 goals, 7 tackles and 144 SC points. It also looks as if he’s back playing that role I think suits him best – high half forward roaming through the midfield. That 35 against the Brisbane Lions is merely an outlier and should be ignored. Given GCS really haven’t given a yelp in about 5-6 weeks, don’t take the last two into consideration – back Bennell to have a good finish to the year before going BANG! in 2015.
Matthew Jaensch (ADEL) DEF – $474,500 SC
- Next 2 Games: NM (A), STK (H)
- Recent Scores: 103, 78, 101, 103, 117, 92
- Breakeven: 75
It’s been a topsy-turvy fantasy year for Matthew Jaensch. He’s in, then out, then in, then out. Now he’s back in for the final 2 games of the year. Despite the pain he caused both pre and post injury, it’s been a very handy 6 weeks for Jaensch. Behind Harry Taylor and Pearce Hanley, is one of the form defenders in SuperCoach. He is back to his old ways – collecting 20+ touches and taking 5+ marks as that running half back. His most notable game in the past 6 weeks was the 117 against Brisbane – which included 25 touches, 5 marks, 7 tackles and a goal. Good think about Jaenschy is that his kick to handball ratio is heavily in favour of kicking. Also, look at his opponent in the final round – St Kilda. If Adelaide need a big % booster to make the 8, guys like Jaensch could have big days. If you need a defender, form is everything in finals and Matthew Jaensch is your man.
Devon Smith (GWS) FWD – $461,000 SC
- Next 2 Games: COLL (H), WBD (A)
- Recent Scores: 89, 115, 134
- Breakeven: 27
I won’t lie; forward prospects look grim so you may need to look at players outside the box to get a nugget. Devon Smith’s last 3 weeks have been sensational and with less than 1.7% of coaches, he could be the man to win you a final. His game on the weekend, albeit against a hopefully Melbourne side, was the best of this little purple patch – 2 goals, 31 touches, 10 marks, 5 tackles for 134 points. He is playing as a high half forward running through the midfield, and killing it. Smith also had a big game against St Kilda earlier in the year, so that final game v the Dogs could win you a flag. Collingwood this week will be like a grand final for GWS, so who knows, with their tails up could be another big performance. Worth a punt.
GET HIM OUT
Going to do ‘Get Him Out’ a bit differently this week. Because there are so many missing or in doubt, I’m going to give a breakdown of who will miss this week and who is in doubt. Prepare yourselves, it’s carnage.
Out this week
- Steve Johnson (GEE)
- Dyson Heppell (ESS)
- Josh P Kennedy (SYD)
- Dayne Beams (COLL)
- Michael Barlow (FRE)
- Brent Harvey (NM)
- Callan Ward (GWS)
- Ben McGlynn (SYD)
- Nathan Fyfe (FRE), pending appeal
- Scott Pendlebury (COLL)
- Jimmy Bartel (GEE)
Here the key break-even scores to keep in mind heading into round 22:
- Harry Taylor (GEE) 60 BE
- Lance Franklin (SYD) 83 BE
- Harley Bennell (GCS) 50 BE
- Robbie Gray (PORT) 33 BE
- Travis Boak (PORT) 58 BE
- Dayne Zorko (BRIS) 44 BE
- Sam Jacobs (ADEL) 82 BE
- Rory Sloane (ADEL) 74 BE
- Trent Cotchin (RICH) 84 BE
- Anthony Miles (RICH) 45 BE
- David Mundy (FRE) 54 BE
- Jordan Lewis (HAW) 59 BE
- Sam Mitchell (HAW) 80 BE
- Joel Selwood (GEE) 148 BE
- Stephen Motlop (GEE) 143 BE
- Luke Parker (SYD) 117 BE
- Kieren Jack (SYD) 115 BE
- Justin Westhoff (PORT) 135 BE
- Brendon Goddard (ESS) 114 BE
- Jobe Watson (ESS) 149 BE
- Nic Naitanui (WCE) 142 BE
- Tom Rockliff (BRIS) 120 BE
- Patrick Dangerfield (ADEL) 125 BE
- Nick Dal Santo (NM) 153 BE
- Dom Tyson (MELB) 130 BE
- Nathan Fyfe (FRE) 166 BE
- Aaron Sandilands (FRE) 125 BE
Unfortunately, I’ve had to close the Pub for this week. However, tweet me at @Mr_Crimmins and I will try address any questions you may have.
Good luck this weekend community
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