Welcome to the second week of finals. Congratulations to first week winners. Either enjoy the week off or gear yourselves for another do or die week. For those who are out – well done on making the 8, use this to help build for next season.
This week we head into do or die territory. No second chance. For those with the week off, you can’t afford to simply not log in. You need to be just as alert about potential trade ins, otherwise you’ll be unprepared for a crack at a GF birth.
GET HIM IN
Toby Greene (GWS) MID – $521,800 SC
- Next 3 Games: MELB (A), COLL (H), WBD (A)
- Recent Scores: 63, 132, 107, 117, 161
- Breakeven: 18
Since his return from a club-imposed suspension, Toby Greene has been sensational. Averaging 28.6 touches a game in his last 5 weeks, Greene has returned back to his first year form, where he would’ve been a runaway winner for the NAB Rising Star had he not been suspended. His game on the weekend v North was the best of the lot – gathering 35 touches, 5 tackles and 9 marks on his way to 161. 25 of those 35 touches were handballs, doing a lot of linking and one-two handballs. Also means he is finding and attracting plenty of the footy. An easy run home of sorts – with Melbourne this week and the Dogs potentially in the GF. Toby has shown more than enough to suggest you trade him in – especially at that price.
Harry Taylor (GEE) DEF – $510,300 SC
- Next 3 Games: CARL (A), HAW (A), BRIS (H)
- Recent Scores: 129, 108, 125, 98, 127
- Breakeven: 37
One of the form defenders of the competition right now, Harry Taylor is ridiculously undervalued given his output. His game against Fremantle on the weekend was just plain ridiculous – 27 touches and 19 marks. Two weeks prior he had 30 touches and took 9 marks. Just pumping out some insane numbers. If you look at this run of games prior to this rise in form, he was scoring below 80+. Now he’s going at 117 a game in his last 5. Brisbane in the grand final down at the Cattery could see Taylor have a Norm Smith-like performance. If you’re in need of a defender, at $510,300, Harry Taylor is perfect solution.
Andrew Gaff (WCE) MID – $477,500 SC
- Next 3 Games: ESS (A), MELB (H), GCS (A)
- Recent Scores: 82, 109, 125, 109
- Breakeven: 47
It’s been a disappointing year for Gaff, however he can take solace from a nice couple of weeks and is peaking at the perfect time for SuperCoaches. At that price and low percentage of ownership, he becomes an interesting prospect for coaching in need of a midfielder. His last two weeks have been particularly good – 34 touches and 6 marks against Collingwood, while against Adelaide he was unbelievable, kicking 3 goals and amassing 31 touches. It will be a ballsy move to get him in, but look at his last two games – Melbourne at home and a cooked Gold Coast Suns. Serious chance to go big and win you a final.
GET HIM OUT
David Swallow (GCS) DEF/MID – $472,400 SC
- Next 3 Games: PORT (H), ESS (A), WCE (H)
- Recent Scores: 93, 87, 52, 89
- Breakeven: 122
Since the injury of one Gary Ablett, it’s been a disappointing 4 weeks for David Swallow. 135 against Collingwood in the Gaz injury game, Swallow has since scored under 100 in his last 4. The Suns themselves are starting to pack it in, and barely gave a whelp against Carlton on the weekend. Port, Essendon and Eagles to finish the year could see more pain for both Swallow and the Suns. Out of form and worth trading now to avoid another poor score at a stage where we need all our players firing.
Steve Johnson (GEE) MID – $526,900 SC
- Next 3 Games: CARL (A), HAW (A), BRIS (H)
- Recent Scores: 141, 61, 50
- Breakeven: 146
Once again, Stevie struggled against Fremantle – scoring only 50 SC points. I did mention to get rid of him last week, but this week he has been ruled out of clash v Carlton. So if you decided against my advice last week, take it this week otherwise a coffee will go nicely with that big, fat donut.
Here the key break-even scores to keep in mind heading into round 21:
- Anthony Miles (RICH) 36 BE
- Dyson Heppell (ESS) 68 BE
- Toby Greene (GWS) 18 BE
- Harry Taylor (GEE) 37 BE
- Robbie Gray (PORT) 37 BE
- Travis Boak (PORT) 88 BE
- Tom Rockliff (BRIS) 72 BE
- Rory Sloane (ADEL) 78 BE
- Nick Riewoldt (STK) 20 BE
- Matthew Priddis (WCE) 58 BE
- Dayne Beams (COLL) 68 BE
- Brett Deledio (RICH) 151 BE
- Dustin Martin (RICH) 125 BE
- Brendon Goddard (ESS) 120 BE
- Jarryd Roughead (HAW) 45 BE
- Brent Harvey (NM) 131 BE
- Nathan Fyfe (FRE) 163 BE
- Stephen Motlop (GEE) 175 BE
- Luke Parker (SYD) 137 BE
- Jarryd McVeigh (SYD) 125 BE
- Lance Franklin (SYD) 138 BE
- Patrick Dangerfield (ADEL) 124 BE
- Scott Pendlebury (COLL) 112 BE
Unfortunately, I’ve had to close the Pub for this week. However, tweet me at @Mr_Crimmins and I will try address any questions you may have.
Good luck this weekend community