Flesh for Fantasy – Round 9, Bye 2

Filed in Supercoach, Supercoach 2014, Supercoach Mr Crimmins style by on May 15, 2014 • views: 11140

flesh-for-fantasy-150x150G’day community,

Hope we faired well last weekend. Another prolonged round of footy meant we were in pain for an extra day, and relief doesn’t last long – a 2-day turnaround and we’re back into it.

It is not all doom and gloom this week. While we will have missing players, we now have players who have completed their bye available on the market. This provides ideal trading opportunities and a chance to eliminate some of those dreaded donuts.

Let’s get stuck in.

GET HIM IN

Dane Swan (COLL) MID – $564,600 SC

  • Next 5 Games: ADEL (A), WCE (H), STK (A), MELB (H), WBD (H)
  • Recent Scores: 116, 122, 143, 93
  • Breakeven: 99

After a slow start the year, now is the perfect opportunity to get Dane Swan in. He is back to the form of old. If he is not getting upward of 30 touches, he is kicking multiple goals a game – most notably 4 against Essendon on Anzac Day. He has a history of coming good after a break. A trip to Colorado in 2011 reenergized Swanny and a brilliant 2nd half to the year saw him go on to win the Brownlow medal.

Collingwood had arguably one of the toughest starts to the year. However, their draw really opens up now. After a trip to Adelaide, the Pies have WCE in Melbourne, St Kilda, Melbourne and the Western Bulldogs. Now is the golden chance to get Swanny on the cheap and ride him home.

 

Tom Lynch (GCS) FWD – $373,200 SC

  • Next 5 Games: STK (A), WBD (H), ADEL (A), SYD (H), WCE (A)
  • Recent Scores: 52, 67 102, 124
  • Breakeven: -7

An obscure pick, the form of Tom Lynch over the last 2 weeks has warranted consideration. A 2 goal, 21 disposal, 8 mark game against North, along with a 5 goal, 17 disposal, 8 mark game against GWS has seen Lynch pump out 2 100+ scores in a row. He is a KPF so worth noting that the consistency in scores won’t be there, but Tom will be a major POD and comes cheap too.

A nice run of games coming up, if you’re looking for a POD player, have big plums and low on upgrade funds, Tom Lynch could be worth considering.

 

Nathan Grima (NM) DEF – $413,100 SC

  • Next 5 Games: BRIS (H), GEE (A), WCE (A), RICH (A), ADEL (A)
  • Recent Scores: 99, 69, 101, 99
  • Breakeven: 45

Another POD candidate, Nathan Grima features in just 893 SuperCoach sides. However, his form of late warrants greater selection. Grima is finding a bit of the footy as a key back, collecting upward of 20+ during his little purple patch. He played on Pavlich for his 101 SC and Tom Lynch for his 99 SC.

Important to note that much like Lynch, don’t expect scores of 120+. However, do expect Grima to pump out consistent 90+ scores, playing as a key defender collecting 20+ disposals. Again, selection like this will require some guts, but Brisbane, the Eagles and Richmond to come could see this form continue. Consider.

GET HIM OUT

Jared Polec (PORT) MID – $446,700 SC

  • Next 5 Games: BYE, HAW (H), MELB (A), STK (H), SYD (A)
  • Recent Scores: 98, 107, 89, 141, 66
  • Breakeven: 25

With the bye this week, it might be perfect time to say goodbye to Jared Polec. In the breakaway group for SuperCoach buy of the year, his stellar form has stumbled a bit of late – including a 66 against Fremantle on the weekend.

With games against Melbourne and St Kilda post-bye, you could still profit from keeping Polec. However, the byes present the opportunity to upgrade your rookies to premiums and begin finalizing your side. As Polec has the bye this week, could be ideal chance to move him to a Swan or Selwood.

 

Matt Suckling (HAW) DEF – $392,700 SC

  • Next 5 Games: BYE, PORT (A), GWS (H), WCE (H), CARL (A)
  • Recent Scores: 63, 58, 108, 58
  • Breakeven: 71

Last time I suggested dumping Matt Suckling he went out and scored 108 on St Kilda. However this time round I’m more confident now is time to dump Suckers. 3 of his last 4 scores have been junk, with the 108 coming against an St Kilda side who didn’t both showing up. A bye this week and a questionable breakeven, it is time to send Suckling to a premium. He is been good value, but the inconsistency with scores is just not worth it. This week is perfect chance.

 

Nick Riewoldt (STK) FWD – $435,200 SC

  • Next 5 Games: GCS (H), BYE, COLL (H), PORT (A), GEE (H)
  • Recent Scores: 116, 58, 31, 73
  • Breakeven: 204

Poor Nick. The bloke is struggling. St Kilda are giving him donuts to work with and he is forced to shoulder both the forward line and the team’s hopes and aspirations. The opposition have also worked out how to play him. As St Kilda have no other forward options, sides are just rotating defenders and sharing the workload. On Monday night, Carlton rotated Rowe, White and Jamison on Nick, minimising his influence somewhat (still kicked 4). Nick also looks to be struggling and there are questions as to whether he can get through rest of season with this workload and basically no knees. He doesn’t have bye ‘till next week, but given his breakeven, this week is the time to dump before his price gets to point where you are unable to trade out.

BREAKING POINT

Here the key break-even scores to keep in mind heading into round 9:

GOING UP

  • Dan Hannebery (SYD) 46 BE
  • Jarryd McVeigh (SYD) 79 BE
  • Aaron Sandilands (FRE) 74 BE
  • Patrick Ambrose (ESS) -75 BE
  • Dom Tyson (MELB) 8 BE
  • Jay Kennedy Harris (MELB) -39 BE
  • Tom Langdon (COLL) -53 BE

GOING DOWN

  • Josh Kennedy (SYD) 120 BE
  • Michael Barlow (FRE) 143 BE
  • Brendon Goddard (ESS) 154 BE
  • Tom Rockliff (BRIS) 123 BE
  • Pearce Hanley (BRIS) 181 BE
  • Scott Pendlebury (COLL) 156 BE
  • Gary Ablett Jr (GCS) 153 BE
  • Luke McDonald (NM) 96 BE
  • Patrick Dangerfield (ADEL) 133 BE
  • Steve Johnson (GEE) 130 BE
  • Joel Selwood (GEE) 154 BE
  • Trent Cotchin (RICH) 130

PUB TALK

Unfortunately, I’ve had to close the Pub for this week. However, tweet me at @Mr_Crimmins and not only will I answer the questions already asked, but I extend opening hours and take questions from everyone.

Good luck this weekend community

Mr Crimmins.

This Week Is Overflowing With Fantasy Footy News:

PODCAST – Time to Trade Like Mad Bastards

Tight Arse Tuesday – Round 9

Supercoach Scouting Report – Round 9

 

Comments (126)

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  1. Brandon2416 says:

    who is a better option watson or swan already got pendels and beams

    • Matt says:

      Swan in my opinion also you wont get a 0 next week

      • Azmataz says:

        Three Pies in your mid-field though? I would go Watson as in my opinion you can't have all 3.

        • Sleepy says:

          All three is fine after bye rounds. No different to having one pie in mid one in forward line and one in backline. Collingwood have had their bye.

  2. Ollie says:

    polec out swan in :)))

  3. Birney says:

    Brendon Goddard (ESS) 154 BE

    About 100 to high there mate, otherwise great read as always.

    • SCaddict says:

      Yes Mr Crimmins always seems to be a week behind in his BE information.

      Floghard has a BE of just 41 this round this is the round to scoop him up purely from a pricing basis.

      • Dee says:

        Yeah I was thinking the same thing… good pick up there lads! JPK BE is 80 not 123 there's a few more there as well that are wrong. Ah well, a part from that good write up Mr. Crimmins. Me love you long time, bang bang!

      • Neilsy says:

        I think Mr Crimmins has been over indulging in the Jameson whiskey on the rocks in regards to the breakevens.

  4. Brandon2416 says:

    Thoughts on trades this week:
    Webster > Simpson
    Aish > Watson
    Polec > Bartel (via langdon DPP)
    After this would have 17 trades with a team that only needs four more premos to be full premo team.
    My team is:
    Defenders McVeigh ,Webster ,Burgoyne,Swallow,Langdon,Enright,Georgiou,Gardiner
    Midfielders Ablett,Pendlebury,Murphy,Aish,Beams, Dal Santo,Polec,Crouch,Taylor,Robertson
    Rucks Sandilands,Jacobs,Derickx,Currie
    Forwards Dangerfield,Dahlhaus,Higgins,Martin,Kennedy-Harris,Lloyd,Ambrose
    Have $666k in the war chest after these trades would have $198k
    Thoughts Community

  5. jack says:

    do you think its time to get pendles in yet or should i get swan and wait

    • Birney says:

      One is coming down in price one is going up and will most likely have similar outputs.

      Its deferentially time to get swan if you have not already.

      • Tom.H says:

        So you think that Swan will have the same output as Pendles for the rest of the season? I don't see him getting 180's like Pendles

        • Birney says:

          I never said he would have the same output i said similar referring to the over all average that they will most likely have by the end of the season (similar might not have been the right word to use but swan will pump out solid scores for you week in week out and for his current price is not someone to be over looked epically for pends who if you give it a week or 2 has a great chance at being much cheaper than he currently is, its a game of numbers and you need to save cash where you can), pends will be higher that is a given but that is also why he is 80k more expensive at the present time.

          You are right though i can't see swan getting huge scores like pends but he will still get you 100+ more often than not and increase his current terrible average (due to being underdone at the start of the season) over the rest of the season.

          So imo get swan now and wait on pends

  6. jonts says:

    Thoughts of these trades community

    Merrett>Martin

    Aish>Acres

    Higgins>Bartel (via Lewis Taylor dpp)

    • Azmataz says:

      Like, Like, Like. If there was one change maybe look at someone else instead of Dusty as a POD, such as Robbie Gray if you have the cash.

  7. Tom.H says:

    Is it worth getting in Swan INSTEAD OF Pendles? I'm going to trade out Polec, although unsure who to go to.

    • Rescued Pieman says:

      Swan is rotating through the mids & goes FWD. Go Pendles if you have the coin.

      • Tom.H says:

        But should I wait another week on Pendles? BE of 156 so i'm thinking he will come down a little bit

  8. James says:

    Hi Community,

    Should I trade in Jobe Watson or Dane Swan this week for Luke Dunstan?
    Jobe Watson is as cheap as he'll be while Swan is also cheap but an extra $40K more than Watson.
    Swan has had his bye while Watson is due next week.

    Who do we think will average more from here on out?

    Cheers

  9. Remy says:

    Thinking of trading out two players this week:
    Riewoldt and Polec.
    I have 90-100k to spend.
    Please advice me on what the right trades to do are. Thanks

    • Darcy says:

      Riewoldt to Fasolo frees up some cash
      and polec for someone like selwood who has a high BE or even nat fyfe

    • Rescued Pieman says:

      Keep Roo this week & trade him to Wingard next week. Maybe Polec to Cotchin

    • SCaddict says:

      It's a bit to say without knowing your bye structure and who else you have in your forwards and mids.

      However bubble boy Acres is worth a look if you could use the cash elsewhere. Goddard and Swan perhaps offer the best value of the premo mids this week.

      Gray, Parker, Dalhaus and Wingard would be the forwards I'd recommend that you consider, although many of these lads have their bye this week.

      • Remy says:

        Roo’s BE is around 200 (ouch) so I don’t think I would want him to be there bleeding cash. However, like SCAddict said, there aren’t really any good FWD options to trade in this week. Maybe I should hold Roo & straight swap Polec for Selwood.
        Save the trades elsewhere.
        Sound good?

  10. Dewys says:

    Hey guys, just thoughts on Wright from Adelaide? What do I do with him?

    • SCaddict says:

      I'd probably still hold him for now. Had a shocker when last he played but so did 2/3 of the Crows team.

      Had been regularly belting out tonnes up to that point so would give him a second chance.

      Perhaps move him on for either Wingard, Dalhaus or Gray next week if he struggles again tonight.

    • Elias says:

      In the same boat of pain. Think hold. he has the ability to bust out 90+scores. Hopefully he can average 90-95. Hoping he will fill an F6 position, and then he can be my last upgrade

  11. Ryan says:

    Hey community, should we seriously consider getting Mcarthy from Geelong, on the bubble this week,
    Thoughts appreciated

  12. andy says:

    In a bitta pickle..Cunningham to bartel or swan in the guts?

    • SCaddict says:

      Indeed that is a hard one. If you can see Bartel's DPP really benefiting you from either a byes or trading degrees of freedom perspective then bring him into your midfield.

      Otherwise Swanny still looks an absolute steal at $564K and who I would lean towards.

  13. Swine says:

    should i keep the pav or bail on him? thinking of getting either parker, gray or elliott in the team

  14. BundyBear says:

    Whats the communities thoughts on Elliot ?

    • Azmataz says:

      Good POD I reckon. I have too many pies in my team at the moment, but I think he is a good trade.

  15. Brad says:

    do we consider macrea a keeper or should i trade him out in a few weeks?

    • Bob McBob says:

      I've had Macrae all year, but I think you'd have to trade him out at some point. He doesn't have a high scoring ceiling and will probably average around 95-105 points for the rest of the year

    • OzSonic says:

      I moved him on this week for Pendles. With the bye I think it's time.

  16. Damo says:

    Polec has a BE of 25. Why would you trade him out? Surely you pick Aish now and wait till next week to Upgrade Polec to Selwood for best price difference?

  17. Shaun says:

    Macrae to Pendles??

  18. Lloyd says:

    Flipper dropped should we make plans to trade him out this week??

  19. Westy says:

    3 trades this week.
    Mitchell > Bartel (I was away last week), Aish > Swan, Higgins > Ambrose (burn free)!

  20. SCaddict says:

    More bad news Crouchy is the sub tonight arrgghh. Last week it was Flipper and before that McDonald. Thumper out with a knee this week too!

    These AFL head coaches really don't like us making quick dollars on their rookies ha ha!

  21. The_Darwin_Ducks says:

    Big outs in Nick "flippa" Robertson and Kade "Thumper" Kolodjashnij.
    With joel tippet named do you go Luke macdonald down to him or a possible Thumper downgrade even though i think both have scoring potential as well as more cash to be juiced in the future.

    The other is Nick Robertson who also has more scoring potential. I was originally going with Aish out and Acres in but do i go Flippa out instead??

    Is it worth it to go Swan if it means i have no opportunity to get Pendles EVER as im looking to get Selwood in next week?

    Is Pat Ambrose still a downgrade option or maybe upgrade from Jarman Gimpey?

    Looking at

    Robertson to acres
    Kolodjashnij to tippet
    Polec to Pendles/Swan/Midfielder

    leaving me with 200-300K in the war chest?

    Thoughts community

    Thanks

  22. Matt says:

    Don't know who to trade in for Georgiou, Impey and Higgins I have 110k left over though.
    Any suggestions, community?

    • Rescued Pieman says:

      Georgio to Joel Tippett is an option

      • Matt says:

        Thanks, any ideas for the others, need 18 to play

        • Azmataz says:

          Have you got any midfield swing players? I would go Higgins down to Acres if you can to free up heaps of cash, and turn Georgiou into a premium back as I see Joel Tippet as a slow burner aka Georgiou.

        • Youngster says:

          If you can swing a midfielder into your forward or back line then you can ditch any of these guys for Acres but he won't play next week… With Impey, he's hardly worth trading and Georgiou is marginally better. I have all three of these guys and none of them are on the chopping block for me.

  23. The_Darwin_Ducks says:

    With Crouch named as sub use your emergency loophole on him with acres and a player who has the bye
    just a thought

  24. bbb says:

    What do people think about Flipper robertson to claye beams who's returning

  25. Roo Boys says:

    Grima out!

  26. Damo says:

    How is J tippet's job security?

  27. Jono says:

    Is Mackie worth a look? Pretty consistent scorer and marks and kicks a lot. Only worried about his hamstring issues.

  28. Matt says:

    I would like the community's opinion on these trades.

    Option #1
    Polec – Acres
    McDonald – Tippett
    Laidler – Swallow

    Option #2
    Polec – Acres
    McDonald/Laidler – Tippett
    Aish – Pendlebury

    Option #3
    Polec – Acres
    McDonald/Laidler – Tippett
    Aish – Parker (Put Taylor in mid to get parker fwd)

    • Matt says:

      My team is
      DEF: Simpson, Enright, Dunn, Suckling, McDonald, Langdon (Laidler, Georgiou)
      MID: Ablett, Beams, Fyfe, Rockliff, Murphy, Dal Santo, Polec , Aish (Hallahan, M.Crouch)
      RUCK: Sandilands, Lobbe (Currie, Nankervis)
      FWD: Dangerfield, Zorko, Martin, Wingard, L.Taylor, JKH (Lloyd, Ambrose)

      19 Trades, $218,800 in bank.

    • Michael says:

      #2 – get Pendles in no matter what

      • shallots says:

        yeah right. no dont get in pendles. get in jelwood or JPK. JPK will smash the rest of the season open and too many have pendles. and quote me on this- after the byes JPK will outscore pendles by 5 points a week. jelwood probably will also.

  29. Team VC says:

    16% of team traded Acres in and hes not even playing

  30. Brad says:

    Who is a defender I can get in under 510k? I have mcveigh Burgoyne swallow, I was thinking walker even know he has the bye this week. But I need someone who I will keep for the rest of the way, possibly Hanley? (His BE is 105 NOT 180)
    Help appreciated

    • Youngster says:

      Mad Mick suggested C Enright who is a solid D5/D6 option and next week we have S Hurn who's priced will under odds, another D5/6 value pick I reckon

      • Brad says:

        Dumped Corey a few rounds ago, don't really fancy getting him back, as for hurn I'll keep an eye on him! Ended up going down to Tippett! Then will look to upgrade cutler or Langford next week

    • WombatsFC says:

      Enright or Jaensch

  31. Jim says:

    Impey and Higgins need to go i have $171,400 in the bank. any suggestions?

    • Azmataz says:

      Robbie Gray or for a cheaper option maybe Wingard to replace Higgins?

      Do you have a midfield swing to turn Impey into Acres? Acres is the only decent rookie at the moment in my opinion.

  32. Benno says:

    Crimmo,

    To those of us looking to bring in Acres and still have Fasolo (not named) and Crouch (named as sub), who do we chop? Does Crouch's BE (34) and a sub affected game coming up mean that his time in our SC teams is over?Seems to be the big issue coming out of tonights game, your thoughts would be appreciated!

  33. Mark says:

    mcveigh or bartel?

  34. G Ablett 3 Votes says:

    Hey community,
    Are these trades good?
    Higgins to Charlie Cameron
    Georgiou to Bartel
    Polec for Swan/Pendles/Selwood

  35. Sully321 says:

    Hooker or Johnson? And tippet or aylett?

  36. Gilly says:

    Of those i'd say option 2 . Pendlebury is a must. I know he will have the bye next week but what about Aylett from Essendon. Had 38 after starting as sub maybe better than Tippet??

  37. Brad says:

    should i get swan or wait 2 weeks and get fyfe? already have pendles and beams

  38. Peter says:

    stevie j or pendles vice?

  39. john snow says:

    why is acres not playing?

  40. Matt says:

    Is Impey to Ambrose and Higgins to Luke Parker worth it?

    • Rescued Pieman says:

      No

    • Cozza says:

      Luke Parker is a keeper – he has been fantastic all year. If you are trading out Higgins, Parker is a great in. I'd have no issues with those trades – think Ambrose will generate more $$ than Impey.

    • shallots says:

      yes for sure. get rid of 2 hacks at once

  41. Johnno says:

    Trade or hold Roughy? If trade, for who?

    • SCaddict says:

      I have him in RDT and intend to keep him. The suspension is annoying especially during the vulnerable bye period but he's not injured and his recent form hasn't been too bad after a very quiet start to the season.

  42. David says:

    what the … do I do with T Mitchell?

  43. Simon T says:

    Hi Community

    Need some advice. Want to trade out J Merrett (Ess), McDonald (NM) and Aish (BL) because they are projected to drop the most in value. Struggling to find a good FWD who is playing this week. Lynch (GC) is an option but each time I bring someone in who has scored 100+ a couple times in a row they rip out half that the next week. Thinking of trading McDonald to Acres and Aish to Bartel (maintain a DPP) or Goddard (bye next week). Thoughts!!!!!!

    • SCaddict says:

      I have brought in Bartel and Acres to my midfield this week so obviously endorse those moves.

      Yeah there really aren't many appealing Rd8 bye forward options this week. Both Dixon and Petrie look to offer value but doubt either will end up in my team. If I didn't have Dusty already he would probably be the one I'd get in at his current price.

      But most of the attractive forwards right now either have a Rd9 or Rd10 bye unfortunately.

      • Simon T says:

        Thanks SCaddict. Bartel and Acres definitely sound like good moves. Apparently T Lynch from GC has scored a ton in each of his last two games but struggled to get near it in the previous five. One of those was against GWS so not sure why the sudden turn around. Just worried that if I don't trade Merrett now I won't be able to later.

  44. Linda despard says:

    What a disgusting display of umpiring of the essendon and swans game ,what the hell is going on essendon can't put a foot right .i think the umpires need to be held accountable for poor umpiring .

    • shallots says:

      guess you didnt see the geelong freo game then?

    • Michael says:

      Can't say that really made a difference, think the Swans still would've won easily, swings and roundabouts really. Anyone that blames umps for losing has no idea really….

  45. Josh says:

    What’s JKH BE?

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