Introduction to “Tight Arse Tuesday”

Filed in Mick The Mad Irishman, Supercoach, Supercoach 2014 by on March 18, 2014 • views: 1432

mick-the-madGood Day to you valued community member.

If you’re a regular visitor to the great and wonderful Jock Reynolds community website you will know me as “The Mad Irishman” . I am responsible for some strategy themed articles and the Tuesday article “Tight Arse Tuesday”, where I look at some value for money pickups each and every week. For those of you who are new to this great game and are unfamiliar to my work, I have acquired my name in one part, because I am indeed an Irishman, and secondly because I have been called “Mad” for as long as I can remember. Jock famously said that there is a very fine line between genius and insanity and sometimes it’s very hard to decide which side of the line I fall on.

I’m sure some of the regular readers on this site have read some of my articles over the years and thought, “yep this guy has finally lost it”. For those of you who seen my team reveal last week, you’re probably using that as confirmation. But just to assure you that there is indeed some method to my madness I thought for my first Tight Arse Tuesday column of the new season I would take a look back at my articles from last year and see how close to the money I got with my predictions. This should also give you an idea of what value you should expect during 2014. There are some massive names on this list that dropped to ridiculously low prices. I can guarantee you the same will happen in 2014.

We opened up “Tight Arse Tuesday” in round 8 last season and the first player we had a look at was:

Matt Priddis

Average 91.4 Breakeven 61 Current Price $451,500 Priced to Average 87

What I Said

In fantasy circles Priddis cops a lot of slack for his heavy use of the handball. Yes it is true he handballs a lot, averaging 17.2 last year and I don’t expect this figure to change this year or any other year for that matter. It is also true that if he did kick more he would be at the higher end of the Elite spectrum averaging numbers more like Cotchin or Selwood. However I don’t think this is any reason to be negative about picking Priddis as one of your midfielder, especially at his current price. The fact of the matter is Priddis will give you exactly what you should expect and is one of the most consistent scorers in the game. I’d expect his current average of 90 to creep up so that he’d finish between 107 to 110 pts per game for the season. This would mean that he would average somewhere between 112 and 114 pts per game from here on out.

The Mad Irishman’s Verdict

2013 Predicted Status: Elite

Average from here on out: 111 to 115pts

Final Word: Don’t let this one slip by thinking you’ll find a better POD. Yes everybody else might pick him up but that’s for good reason. JUMP ON

Actual Outcome

2013 Status: Premium

Average from round 8 on: 106pts

Error: -4.5%

West Coast didn’t kick on in the second half of the year like I would have expected and as a result their scores where down across the board. Still for all those of you who picked up Priddis in round 8 for $450k, a 106pt average from there on out was very good value from money.

 

In round 9 we looked at:

Nick Dal Santo

Average 80.62 Breakeven 56 Current Price $398,500 Priced to Average 77.52

What I Said

Scoty Watters did challenge Nick to lift a couple of weeks ago and to be fair to the player he responded as champions do, lifting his output. He had 26 disposals at 62% effective for 86 supercoach points against the Blues just over a week ago and had 23 disposals on the weekend at 73% effective for a Supercoach score of 97 against the Crows at the weekend. Whereas I don’t think we will ever see the days where he will regularly pump out the 120+ scores you could have expected him to produce a few years back I do think he is very capably of averaging out the rest of the year around the 95 point mark. A lot will depend on what he wants to do next year and if he comes out and commits to the Saint Kilda football club he could very well average 100+ for the remainder of the year.

The Mad Irishman’s Verdict

2013 Predicted Status: Strong Midpricer

Predicted Average from here on out: 93-98pts

Final Word: Probably not relevant to anyone chasing the big prizes but if you are struggling outside the 8 in you league and looking for improved midfield output you could do a lot worse. Is currently at a ridiculously low price and could be the POD you need that will help improve your team.

Actual Outcome

2013 Status: Premium

Average from round 9 on: 105pts

Error: +6.6%

To be able to pick up someone for less than 400k who would go on to average 105 is a great pick up. I didn’t expect him to do this well but a final round 133 against a Fremantle reserve team helped a treat.

 

In round 10 we looked at:

Matthew Kreuzer

Average 78.5 Breakeven 57 Current Price $380,000 Priced to Average 73.9

What I Said

I still think Kreuzer is a great option at his current price. We must remember he did average 92 last year playing in the same side as Warnock and I don’t think he’ll be too far away from those numbers again this season. With the bye (GWS) this week he is likely to tonne up and this will most likely be the last time he will below $400,000 for the rest of the year.

The Mad Irishman’s Verdict

2013 Predicted Status: Strong Midpricer

Predicted Average from here on out: 89-94pts

Final Word: With Sam Jacobs causing so many coachs strife this season and his performance at the weekend being the straw that broke the camel’s back for many, I’d be strongly looking at Kreuzer as a very solid option this week. Likewise he could also come into many calculations with the injury to Luenburger and for all those that are still relying on Rookies in your rucks. Seriously Consider

Actual Outcome

2013 Status: Premium

Average from round 10 on: 109pts

Error: +13.7%

I replaced Luenburger with Kreuzer in this very round last year and it helped me to kick on and challenge for the top prize. If he hadn’t got injured and missed 3 rounds at the death it could have been even better. Pick up of the year for me all the same.

 

In round 11 we had a look at a couple of fallen premiums:

Joel Selwood

Average 104.2 Breakeven 134 Current Price $491,300 Priced to Average 95.58 Bye Round 12

What I Said

There is a good chance all this analysis might be for nothing as I believe that Joel might be given an extra week off and be rested for this weekend’s clash with GWS. If that is the case I will have to revert you fine folks back to this article before round 13 because a fit and firing Joel Selwood would be a must have in everyone’s team. The added bonus is you’d be picking him up at under $500,000. An absolute steel. If he is selected this weekend I would still think he is a very good pick up even if I think the bye will do him the world of good and he still has quite a high breakeven. The fact that Geelong are playing GWS would almost guarantee he would be one of ten or so that will tonne up against the hapless GWS. Although in saying that JobeWaston and Marc Murphy owners might disagree. (Jobe 66, Marc 73)

The Mad Irishman’s Verdict

2013 Predicted Status: Elite

Predicted Average from here on out: 111-115pts

Final Word: Will bounce back from a poor run of late. I suspect he is carrying a minor injury and the bye will do him the world of good. Expect to see the output we have come to expect from him return from round 13 on. Might be a better option after the bye but with GWS this week I wouldn’t be afraid to go now. That is if he is selected.

Actual Outcome

2013 Status: Super Elite

Average from round 11 on: 130pts

Error: +11.5%

Selwood was just a different beast after his bye last year. To think we all could have got a player for under 500k that would average more than anyone else in the competition from that point on. I jumped on and I hope all of you reading remember jumping on this train too. Just a side note here, I’d expect Selwood’s second half to this year will be similar as he may struggle to overcome a limited preseason in the first 8 rounds. Prime round 9 trade in target in 2014. Plan ahead and you go far.

Dane Swan

Average 111.9 Breakeven 119 Current Price $523,300 Priced to Average 101.8 Bye Round 13

What I Said

I want to bring Swan in but whether now’s the right time to bring him in or do I try hold off until after his round 13 bye. I fear that he will be rested next week against the Bulldogs in which case he will still be around the same price in round 14. However if he does play the Dees this week and the Doggies the next he could very well be back up over $550,000 and might not be as easy to bring in.

The Mad Irishman’s Verdict

2013 Predicted Status: Elite

Predicted Average from here on out: 118-122pts

Final Word: Unusual low scores can be equated to Collingwood trying and failing with playing Swan forward. Will surely be back in the middle where he belongs and back to producing monster scores. At this price I am very tempted to bring him in this week despite my fears he may miss a couple of games later on.

Actual Outcome

2013 Status: Super Elite

Average from round 11 on: 122pts

Error: 0%

Swan was another of those midyear fallen premiums that dropped to a really nice price to be snapped up for the second half. The fears of been rested didn’t come to fruition and he managed to play out the year with a nice Super Elite average of 122. These round 10 pick-ups look obvious now but how any of you actually brought them in at this stage last year?

 

Round 12 saw us take a look at Grant Birchall

Grant Birchall

Average 96.78 Breakeven 105 Current Price $417,800 Priced to Average 81.28 Bye Round 11 – no worries

What I Said

With another break just passed due to Hawthorn’s bye, the good news for Birchall is that his early season form is now even further behind him and not in the forefront of opposition coaches anymore. I suspect he won’t be given as hard a tag as he has experienced through rounds 5 to 8, and I expect to see his scoring come back to what we are used to seeing from Birchall. However I don’t think people should be getting him in thinking he will rediscover that early season form and should really gauge his further scores from looking at his past stats over a longer period of time.

The Mad Irishman’s Verdict

2013 Predicted Status: Strong Midpricer

Predicted Average from here on out: 92-97pts

Final Word: As I have stated earlier, anything over $500k is too expensive for a defender, as they are all likely to produce some low scores that will reduce their price back down to realistic levels. Birchall is the perfect example of this and now can be picked up at a bargain price well below his probably output from here on out. No brainer for me, if you need another defender then Birchall at this price is your man. And remember if you can’t get him this week he will still cost you roughly the same next week as his breakeven is still on the high side.

Actual Outcome

2013 Status: Midpricer

Average from round 12 on: 84pts

Error: -9.5%

**Note: was injured in round 13 with a score of 40 and only returned in round 21. Average without injury affected score was 95pts

There is one thing that no analysis can predict, and that’s when someone will get injured. Birchall only managed a game and a quarter after this article before he got injured much to mine and thousands of others heartache. Copped a fair bit of flak for recommending Birchall but if anyone out there knows how to predict an injury, please let me know.

 

Round 13 we had a look at:

Trent Cotchin

Average 110.7 Breakeven 144 Current Price $526,900 Priced to Average 102.5 Bye Round 11 – no worries

What I Said

I know a lot of you might be worried that he is still carrying that knee injury and hence why he is only averaging 101 since his return in round 8. However I really don’t think the smart people down in Tigerland would risk their superstar if he wasn’t a 100% fit. I suspect the bye came at a good time for Cotchin and I’m expecting some of that early season form to return for the run home.

The Mad Irishman’s Verdict

2013 Predicted Status: Elite

Predicted Average from here on out: 114-119pts

Final Word:You can wait another week to pick him up a little cheaper but if you are looking to boost your squad this week I wouldn’t be too concerned about the extra savings you’ll make by waiting an extra week. Just like Selwood above he is a proven Elite player that steps his game up when the going gets tough. The Tigers are coming.

Actual Outcome

2013 Status: Premium

Average from round 13 on: 102pts

Error: -10.5%

This was my biggest disappointment on the run home last year. It has later come out that his knee issue was worse than most of us knew last season. In the off season Cotchin came out and said he was playing through pain all last season but now the issue is behind him. I know whats he’s capable and that’s why I forgive him and popped him straight back into my side for 2014. On the one positive from last year, he was priced to average 102pts and that’s what he did. So if you did pick him up in round 13 you didn’t lose any value.   We took a break from the “Tight Arse Tuesday” Column for a few weeks to look at the defensive troubles facing many Supercoachers.

 

We returned in round 17 with:

Mark Murphy

Average 90.86 Breakeven 104 Current Price $376,800 Priced to Average 73.3 Owned by 17,648 teams (5.68%)

What I Said

I do believe Mark will grow into this roll and become a fine captain but the big question remains is weather that will happen during the blues run home or is it more likely going to be next year? I am going to go out on a limb here and go with the former. I believe the pot is boiling and the lid is about to pop. If we look at Murphy’s run home we can see that he likes playing almost all of Carlton’s opponent’s and many of his Monster scores have come against these upcoming opponents. Another reason why I like Murphy’s chances of improved output is the fact that Chris Judd has played himself into a little bit of form and may very well demand the number one tag for the run home, leaving Murphy off the lease. It might be a risky move bringing Mark in but I have got to go with my gut on this one and I believe Mark has a run of Monster scores in him and it is for that reasons Mark will be joining the Mayhem.

The Mad Irishman’s Verdict

2013 Predicted Status: Premium

Predicted Average from here on out: 112-117pts

Final Word: At worst he will come home averaging 100 and at that price I really don’t think you can lose. At best he comes home all guns blazing and you’ll look like a genius for bring him in? Where does he sit for you?

Actual Outcome

2013 Status: Premium

Average from round 17 on: 95pts

Error: -15%

Murphy turned out to be a big risk. He copped a heavy tag in round 19 by Fremantle’s Ryan Crowley for a score of 51. This threw his average off in the 7 games he had left from this point on. He did manage to be serviceable in the other games but didn’t hit the heights I expected. He has come out since that he too wasn’t playing fully fit last year and like Cotchin above has been selected in 2014. I was actually ranked in the top 10 at this point last season so I took the last few rounds off to concentrate on my chances of winning. I didn’t quite get there in the end and slipped back to 27th overall.

This year I will be bringing you at least one player each week that represents value for money, starting next week after the completion of round 1. I hope this little look back into last year helps you understand that there are always great options during the year that are undervalued and represent great value for your buck. So if things didn’t quite go to plan over the first weekend of round one, it’s not the end of the world. Keep to your structures for this 1st round and if you keep calm and have some patience you can trade yourself to success during the year. I’ll be there every step of the way to guide you through it.

Stay tuned ….

Mick the Mad Irishman

 

See what was presented earlier this week:

Monday’s Poll – What’s your captains loophole threshold?

 

Comments (101)

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  1. Garglesnarf FC says:

    My favourite weekly article all year in 2013! Kreuzer and Selwood saved my bacon! Bring on 2014 Mick you mad bastard!!!

  2. GeneralSoreness says:

    Looking forward to the articles again Mick!

    Would be interesting to get your early read on Buddy. I dont have him but many do and probably the hardest to pick in terms of what he might produce imo.

  3. Kev says:

    Completely agree, quickly became my favourite SC article. I remember reading the first few editions and thinking, "this guy is full of s***!" But the Priddis/Selwood selections turned my season around. Love ya Mick, looking forward to more of your wisdom in 2014

  4. Sarah says:

    Great article Mick! I wasn't onboard last year, so missed out on all this wisdom. If I had been I have no doubt I would've nabbed Selwood when he was cheap.

    After a bit of feedback to finalise my midfield. I have 2 spots available and considering 4 players: Stevie J, Watson, Rockliff and Libba.

    Would appreciate peoples opinions.

    Thanks guys :)

    • Sarah if it means anything to you I have Rockliff and Libba – I like Watson too but couldn't fit him in. Stevie J is a little too inconsistent to pick straight away – way feature in Tight Arse during the year.

      • Sarah says:

        Thanks Mick! Appreciate the comment.
        I like Libba a lot so have locked him in. Just tossing up between Rocky and Watson now. Might end up being a last minute decision on Friday night!!

    • Sean Ledgeit says:

      "I have no doubt I would've nabbed Selwood when he was cheap"

      ……. seems legit

    • Shinboner says:

      I'd steering clear of big name Dons until the drug scandal finds closure.

    • Blueprime says:

      Watson & Libba

  5. Adam Hapgud says:

    Guise join ma league yo anjing laki-laki

    795137

    Well respected if u do it mang, peace yo!

  6. bundyBear says:

    Bartel or Enright ? any advice would be greatly accepted

    • GeneralSoreness says:

      Sorry Bundy reposting here as obviously i forgot to hit reply last time :)

      I think it all depends on the risk currently in your side.

      If you side contains a number of risks then perhaps Enright – Mr Reliable is your man to balance your risk out.

      If your side is conservative then perhaps you can afford to take Bartel who may be changing roles which comes with scoring risk.

      Personally I would chose Enright who should pump out 90's for you week in week out and play every match.

    • @JPBlacker says:

      It might be beneficial to consider what the injuries at geelong might mean for Bartel, whilst I am a massive fan of bartel and had him locked into my side all of last season, we cannot be 100% of his position week in week out at this stage. For this reason, I would lock in Enright over Bartel for now. Especially because Enright offers that extra security.

    • theazzyg says:

      afl.com.au has an article stating that bartel is going to be playing forward this year, at least to begin with. Not sure if that will mean his output will drop but i'm steering clear.

    • BundyBear says:

      Thankyou for the wisdom everyone

  7. GeneralSoreness says:

    I think it all depends on the risk currently in your side.

    If you side contains a number of risks then perhaps Enright – Mr Reliable is your man to balance your risk out.

    If your side is conservative then perhaps you can afford to take Bartel who may be changing roles which comes with scoring risk.

    Personally I would chose Enright who should pump out 90's for you week in week out and play every match.

  8. Pieman1978 says:

    Loved tight arse Tuesdays last year Mick. Peeled off some beauties that got me back into the game, Kruezer, Priddis & Selwood were memorable. Keep up the great work mate!

  9. Smitty Bacall says:

    Would love some thoughts on downgrading macdonald to fuller getting the extra cash and waiting for fuller to get a game if he doesn't play this week. Also getting langdons score if fuller doesn't play.

    • McClungeMagnet says:

      Stupid, unless you have some inside knowledge that fuller will play within a couple of weeks. If he doesn't you have reduced you bench cover, limited you money making and eventually costing you a trade for 60k (which you will get back when you trade him out) and a once off 40 points.

    • THE SALTSHAKER says:

      Was looking at options to not get McDonald but seems he is part of the gameplan, has been training with them for over 12mths, was regarded as 6th best player in comp. Pre season time, round 1 debut, Scott gave glowing endorsement he has done what they asked of him, its all signs will feature strongly. I got feeling its the vest though for some reason

  10. Dools says:

    Releived Mick, I thought you not be up for this post ST Patricks day ….Great have "Tight Arse Tuesday" back Mick.
    Between You and the rest of The Jock Reynolds crew what could possibley go wrong with the KrakenKats 2014????

  11. James says:

    Thoughts on back line
    Back line. Mitchell , enright , swallow ,suckling , Webster, gerorgiou , emerg. Langdon bench McDonald

    Is it to risky?

    High risk high reward? Right

    • SCdonkey says:

      "UPGRADED rookie Joel Tippett and fringe tall Dan Currie will be in the squad, while young gun Luke McDonald is one of several selection posers for North Melbourne coach Brad Scott."

      By the sound of it Lukey McD might not play this week

      Oh Georgiou has a pretty good chance of playing this week.

  12. McClungeMagnet says:

    Hey Mick, With neither Max King, Derricx or Thurlow likely to play who do you think is a better option at R4.
    Thurlow
    – Has Fwd/Ruck eligibility (not sure how could he would be on the loophole)
    King
    – save 16k but don't have Fwd/ruck
    – pretty sure he plays a fair few Sunday night matches.

    I have no other FWD/Ruck players and none of them excite me at the moment. May target chase dixon if he drops in price a lot but others can't see myself picking any of them.

    • @daveywarhol says:

      I'm toying with the same question. With Dericx not getting a game, it makes the rookie Rucks very difficult! I think if Thurlow doesn't get named, I'll go with King for an extra 20k and captain's loophole.

      I don't think Dixon will be fantasy relevant this year, now that Nicholls gets a game and Zac Smith returning, Guy Mckenna has talked about using Dixon as one of three key forwards. Not to mention that you get the odd terrential downpour at the Gold Coast!

    • throttlefinger says:

      Great question, MCM. I actually have Thurlow and King on my bench. Swore Thurlow would get a shot early rounds.. He did decent during NAB for the time he was on the field (ave 32% TOG).

      Wombats made a good point that King may get some early time given the lack of depth at ruck and the need for some bigger body's upfront with Dawes and Clark out.

      Derickx may get some time next round after Pyke's and LRT's inadequate job against Mummy. Not sure on that.

      Gonna hold tight on my end. See how it will play out. Ruck's bench is down the list of concerns right now.

      • THE SALTSHAKER says:

        King to Curriemuncher another cow and back up to Sandi = perfect scenario

        Better than manufacturing a loop

        • throttlefinger says:

          Agree, but in my case can't trade King to Currie, much less Thurlow to Currie. Would have to change other players to make room. Just not worth it for a bench rook.

          • Big Cheese says:

            I axed Thurlow to get Currie in, but also had to change Mitchie to Tyson. This could all change when the teams are announced tomorrow night…

  13. SCdonkey says:

    With Griffen in doubt to play this week against the eagles, how will this affect Libba. A little concern on Libba being exposed if Griffen does not play.

    Thoughts anyone.

    • James says:

      Concerning but i still have him in the team, he is a gun,constested posses is his strength

    • medadsson says:

      May affect his score this week (tag) however one week does not a season make.

    • Dondeal says:

      Won't matter Libba is an in close contested beast, very hard to tag. More likely to put the tag on somebody on the outside to stop the damage from Libba's inevitable releasing handballs.

  14. SCdonkey says:

    This is just in.

    MELBOURNE defender Alex Georgiou has been upgraded to the senior list ahead of the club's round one clash against St Kilda on Saturday night.

    • Dools says:

      That is so funny so many people needed him off the field to score, This is going to be a trade black hole for Langdon SCd, Hahahahahahaha!

      • SCdonkey says:

        I'm one of those people Dools. Hehhe now i'm hoping McD doesn't get run this week.

      • throttlefinger says:

        Funny HAHA or funny ironic, Dools?

        I've come to the point that I'd like the points but not going to shave my head except for one lock of hair because it has a nice sheen. Hope is rest of the team sees Daddy's dilemma and puts in an extra effort to pick up their scores. Including Georgie boy. All will be well. And the laughing will be mine, Doolser.

    • Shinboner says:

      I'll be honest, I was hoping he'd be elevated so that I wasn't the only one to miss out on Langdon's score. Sorry!

      • Big Cheese says:

        It's week one, i'm not too concerned. I'm definitely not going to burn a trade by bringing in a non-player only to trade them out next week, not for 100 points

  15. Dools says:

    I Know SCd. all I can say if you can justifiy it in your mind then Gut tells you the Half Nelson is worth a trade (111) so you hit the front in a marathon at the 150 meter mark then you need to do it mate….Just reminding you there is 27 Miles to go . This IS the Seperation point between adolesence and Adualthood buddy. Sorry I'm ranting .
    Mate if you think this a way to go Then go for it !!!

    • SCdonkey says:

      All good Dools, its always nice hearing/seeing comments and opinions such as yours. If McD doesn't get a run this week, which I'm hoping he doesn't, as we already know Georgiou has been elevated. Then I will leave my team the way it is with McD a non player on field to get Langdon's juicy 111 points.
      But if both McD and Georgiou plays in round 1 then I'm gonna need to replace one of them for Fuller or Cutler in the team hoping they don't play for Round 1.

      • throttlefinger says:

        McD will be in for sure. If they are talking Tippett in the mix, McD is locked.

        Donkey, I have Langdon on the bench with a big tasty-looking EMG on him and Georgie boy at D6 hoping he like hell he doesn't show up. But if he does, he does. Don't have the loot to switch out to Langford (who probably get another score) without disrupting the DNA of my team. Deep breath, let it all play out.

      • THE SALTSHAKER says:

        get on KK will surely be in the mix sooner rather than later #5 draft pick didnt play nab due to soreness had 45possies in neafl (if true then surely it demands attention) save you a trade later get langdons 111

        • Bender says:

          No I'm afraid that won't work SS. KK's Gold Coast have already played meaning you can't freely select him anymore. The only way you can have KK now is to use a trade to get him into your side.

  16. DarBy says:

    if u don't put anyone as your captain but have a VC do they get the score

    Gary A VC None C

  17. Kevan says:

    Hi DarBy, I don't think you can save your team without nominating a Captain.

  18. KadeK is a jet says:

    Hi is anyone getting onto Nic naitanui because I am really considering him now that he is playing on Sunday against the doggies, I think he'll smash it. What is everyone's thoughts on Nic Nat?

    • KadeK is a jet says:

      Yeah I think that he should play, but has a possibility of being a substitute. They said that he might only be subbed off is he is feeling sore or tired. So ultimately it is up to you? I suggest yes go for the punt!

  19. Wattsieesq says:

    Hey Mick, so what you're saying is sometimes you got it right and sometimes you didn't? lol

    I didn't get to experience your TAT last month, but reading the above, I'm sure it will be valuable this year.

    Wattsie

    • Wattsieesq, that's exactly what I'm saying :)
      I don't pretend I get it right all the time. We here at Jock Renyolds are all about honesty and integrity with all our work and by showing how I actually performed last year gives all our readers realistic expectations going into 2014.

      Glad your on board for 2014

  20. throttlefinger says:

    TAT is back! Easily one of the most anticipated reads of each week. Can't wait to see what gems you have in store for us this season, Mad One.

  21. Shinboner says:

    TAT did me wonders last year – once again, thank you for the Jelwood recommendation! Never doubt Mad Mick's ways.

  22. RabGr says:

    Very Good news to have the column back. Selwood and Priddis were awesome during finals.

    Also for those interested have SC Draft league with places available for those interested. League Code 859582

  23. Thanks for all the wonderful comments – gives me the inspiration to dig that little deeper into the stats to pull out the gold from the ones that suck us in.

    • throttlefinger says:

      Speak for many that we appreciate the digging, mining and spelunking to find the gold and pass it on to the community. All eager to your nuggets you'll be serving every Tuesday.

  24. THE SALTSHAKER says:

    Yeah after milking Dwyer early for Daisy (which lasted a week and thankfully 105pts) Priddis was only decent option, had him year before and is model of consistency. Selwood after byes first week in team scored 55 but then was my best trade of the year.

    Couldnt do Kruezer trade, i dont trust him, always breaking down. Surprised he got you that avg too. Burnt me in 2012. Big year for Kruez, Is at the cross roads, only #1 draft pick since Pies took Josh Fraser but is behimd Warnock now as #1 tap ruckman.

    Dal Santo offered value but didnt see him in my finished mids so was gonna cost me another trade at some stage

  25. THE SALTSHAKER says:

    @ Mick you guys really need a forum section. Get Jock onto it, every new post the discussion resembles more about my side or who to pick (of which ive been guilty myself) but sometimes i think it does your posts a diservice

    • throttlefinger says:

      Tend to agree although how often does that really happen? I'm sure that will curtail now that season is in swing. And I've come to enjoy the loose and wild west-ness of the comments. For me, it's easy to bypass the ones not germaine to the post topic.

      Just my 2 cents, Double S.

      Would, though, live weekly chats with each member. Different days of the week. Similar to how Sun and AFL.au.com does on round selection day. Or ESPN does a good job of chats with their contributors. Just a suggestion.

      • throttlefinger says:

        And SS, both our posts are bit off topic as well!

        • The Ranger says:

          Forgive me for jumping in on your thread but this is something I've pondered for a while myself. SS, I agree that a forum section would make it easier to to use but for me at least part of the beauty of this site is it's lack of conformity. It's a bit random. It's a chaotic. But it works. if you dig a bit you find what you need.
          As my old man used to say…"where's there's muck there's brass".

  26. Give It A Go says:

    Only 2nd year and TAT was a great building block for me, finished in the top 20% with some of the players I put in from the MI verdict, now on to another note, with Longer out and Hickey the sole ruck man for the Saints, do you community think this could be a great POD to have in your side to free up some cash to use on a gun Mid.

    Your thoughts or ideas?

    • Blueprime says:

      Yes

    • GeneralSoreness says:

      No for me.

      It all depends on your strategy and where you see value.

      I do not see Hickey as a year end R1 or R2 prospect therefore he is only in my consideration as a cash generator. I think I will get a greater cash increase from the plethora of mid rookies available than I would from Hickey.

      • Give It A Go says:

        Thanks GS, that makes sense.

        With this split round, it makes changing the plan a head ache!!!!!!!

        Cheers

  27. NutSack says:

    Hi i seems others arent too happy that NRL fantasy crashed and it has spread around the globe- from here to even to germany
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irSYLIatcKI&fe

  28. BEN B says:

    if i trade now will it use up my 30 trades

    • PJ8 says:

      No, you still have unlimited trades for any players that haven't played their Rd 1 games yet.

      The players who have played already are locked in and out until the round finishes.

  29. Liam says:

    Someone who is already decent value is Josh Kennedy (WC). He is around 50-60k underpriced imo. If you take his last 4 games out from last year where West Coast had pretty much given up and he got no ball, think he might've been subbed off in one of em…..anyhoo, his average jumps from 90 to 99 and puts him next best forward behind Dusty in rankings and priced around the 540k mark!! The Eagles have a decent draw to start the season and I think their midfield will be in for a much better year. Expect kennedy to get much more pill. Added to that he had a very consistent year prior to his last 4 games. I reckon he will average 100+ this year with ease. I put in my team instead of Franklin. Should be a nice pod as most people seem to be overlooking him due to his price!

  30. Ca says:

    Good folk, I’m having a dilemma with a couple of my defensive rookies and I keep going around in circles to the extent that I’m now dizzy. As it stands my D5-8 is Webster, McDonald, Langford(E) and Langdon. McD is a likely starter this weekend and with Georgiou being elevated off the rookie list I’m not sure who to take. I’m pretty set on McD and Langdon didn’t have the E so I’m not worrying about that… Essentially I have to pick 3 or Webster, McD, Langford and Georgiou; who is going to give me the best job security, score reliability and, most importantly, profit.

    I already have McVeigh, Mitchell, Enright and Swallow so the aim is to upgrade two if these rookies as soon as possible to get my backline locked in as full premium. Who is going to produce the most bones/clams/cash-money the quickest so I can make this happen?!

  31. PJ8 says:

    Luke McDonald is confirmed to make his debut this Friday night

  32. Cam says:

    Yeah, I saw that McDonald is getting a guernsey and I'd think that Georgiou will too (ignoring what happened after Hudson got lifted from the rookie list). Webster looks good as does Langford…. the big question is who do I leave out?

  33. G Ablett 3 Votes says:

    Is it too risky to have 3 players under 200k on the field in defence, such as langford, l.mcdonald and laidler/georgiou?

    • PJ8 says:

      Yes, that will be 5 in total including your bench. Too risky!

    • Gold Rush says:

      That's what I'm doing, it is very risky but if it comes off and you trade wisely – you should be able to bring it home.

      • David says:

        Can only see 3 of the 5 likely defensive rookies earning you enough cash to be any worth meaning you would want at least 150k generated per rookie in defence. Having 5 rookies is risky and think 4 is the maximum to have this year and that's what I'm going with too. Though it's your team and your structure so go with your gut and don't look back :)

    • Could be argued its risky spending big coin on four premiums in the backline – defenders are notorious for inconsistent scoring and therefore will drop in price during the year.

      I like starting with less coin in the defence so don't see don't think its the worse idea in the world to start with 3 onfield rookies

  34. David says:

    Mick you mad dog!
    Am I mad for going with Luke Hodge instead of the likes of Enright, Simpson, Hanley, Hibberd who are all around the same low 500k price tags?

    Concerned a little about him being able to play 19+ games but reckon he can get back over 100 this year. More midfield time is needed from him for the Hawks, how that translates in scores is yet to be seen but had a look into his stats last year and reckon his disposals per game can only go up.

    • Sarah says:

      I've gone for Hodge over the others mentioned. I did have Hibberd locked in but I won't take him without seeing him play a few games after doing the hammy in the NAB game.

    • Love Hodge as a POD early over the likes of Enright, Hanley and Hibberd. Will score well early and will suck a lot of guys into bringing him in around round 9/10 which is a big no no as I do expect him to slow down in the second half and miss one or two games. At that stage you will have got all his big scores and should be structured to cover him in the later rounds.

      I like it – go with your gut feeling mate

      • Give It A Go says:

        Same for Hodge, had him locked for the last month, DPP player with great work rate.

  35. JBomb says:

    Spots still left: 607299

    Can't wait to see how J. Stevens will shape up this year when he's back on the park. Also keep an eye out for Josh Thomas – this might be his breakout year

  36. James says:

    Hey guys u may have seen the tweet at the side but Kade Kolodjashnij racked up 45 freaking touches in the final NEAFL practice match at Metricon! If ur game enough to pick him go for it!

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