G’day beloved community,
Another week, another frustrating round of fantasy football. Hanley out for weeks with injury, Brett Goodes done for the year, and as we get Stevie J back, Bartel books himself a week off.
While I would usually say it’s time for the Supercoach and AFL Fantasy gods to give us a break, we need to start making our own luck. Come finals time, its every man for himself, and decisions made could make or break our campaigns.
Our finals teams are locked in, or just about. Many have scarce number of trades left, so every trade in/out here on in is critical, and I’m here to make sure you make the right ones.
Here is this week’s Flesh.
“GET HIM IN”TRENT COTCHIN (RICH) MID – $454,900 DT/$518,500 SC - Next 5 Games: SYD (A), HAW (A), BRIS (H), CARL (H), GWS (A)
– Recent Scores: 86, 107, 104, 109, 137
Cotchin is a must at this reduced cost. $518,500 for a player who’s dropped below 100 only 3 times this season is an absolute bargain. His current price stands at $103,600 less than what it was when SuperCoach opened up, and with a low BE, it’s not going to stay this way.
In his last 3 games against Sydney, Hawthorn and Brisbane, Trent has averaged 114, 102 and 118. If you’re still trying to finalize that last midfield spot, Trent Cotchin at this price is one of the bargains of the year. Get on.TOM ROCKLIFF (BRIS) MID/FWD – $433,400 DT/$487,600 SC - Next 5 Games: PORT (A), STK (H), RICH (A), GWS (H), WBD (H)
– Recent Scores: 79, 57, 101, 147, 128
After a horrid spell from Tom, which saw him go hundred-less in 5 games, he’s averaged a lazy 125 since and looks set for a big run home. As mentioned above, Brisbane has Port Adelaide, St Kilda, Richmond, GWS and the Dogs in the finals run-in, which should see this form continue. He had 23 touches and 3 goal assists v GC, 28 touches and 11 tackles v NM, and 34 touches and 8 marks v Melbourne. Incredible return to form, and at $487,600, he’s the ultimate trade-in option for Nic Nat/Buddy.TRAVIS COLYER (ESS) MID – $257,400 DT/$302,300 SC - Next 5 Games:
– Recent Scores: 48, 33, 48, 98, 112
If you’ve got balls of steel, Travis Colyer could be the ultimate point of difference for the run home. Ignore those first 3 scores, they’re sub effected. But if you look at them closely, they’re significant scores for a player coming on as a sub.
In his last 2 games with a full run at it, he’s produced 22 and 6 marks v WBD, and 16 touches and 4 goals v GWS. Granted, not the best sides in the competition, but when he’s played this season – whether it’s off the bench or with a full game, he’s showed potential. It will be a seriously bold move, but if you’re strapped for cash and need a POD (point of difference), Travis Colyer could be your man.RICKY HENDERSON (ADEL) FWD/DEF – $391,100 DT/$419,500 SC - Next 5 Games: FRE (A), PORT (H), NM (H), WBD (A), MELB (H)
– Recent Scores: 16, 101, 85, 106, 160
Since that 16 v Richmond in round 12, Henderson has come back flying. He’s getting a lot of the pill, while also taking significant number of marks as well. A mammoth game against Geelong, which saw him collect 32 touches and take 9 marks in the wet!!
When he played Port Adelaide and the Dogs earlier in the year, he had 20 touches and 7 marks (114 SC) and 22 touches (86 SC) respectively. Many still have Brett Goodes, and with the defensive premiums not firing a shot, not only is he a nice cash grab, he’s a POD. Consider.
“GET HIM OUT”BRETT GOODES (WBD) DEF/MID – $373,500 DT/$439,500 SC - Next 5 Games: Early holiday
– Recent Scores: Were good, now irrelevant
A double break in Brett Goodes’ foreman means lights out for his stellar 2013, and a one-way ticket out of your SuperCoach side if you still have him.NIC NAITANUI (WCE) RUC/FWD – $356,800 DT/$450,200 SC - Next 5 Games: Dump him.
– Recent Scores: Dump him.
In case you missed last week’s Flesh, or you’re still holding onto Nic Nat – let this be a second warning, HE HAS TO GO!! Last week it was reported he might be struggling with the dreaded OP. He played on, but it seems the Eagles have pulled the pin. Out for the next 2 weeks, and really, I don’t see him getting back at all this year. Been struggling big time over the past few weeks, and even if he does come back, he’s not scoring well enough to be a premium forward/ruckman.
So, whom do you send him to? Depends on where you have him. If you’ve got him in the ruck, reckon Todd Goldstein or if you don’t have the coin, Ivan Maric could be an option to consider. If you got him up forward, as mentioned above, Rockliff’s your man. Back in sensational form and has a nice run coming up. Either way, it’s time to rid yourself of the Nic Nat circus that’s about to begin.
– Marc Murphy (CARL), BE 56
– Gary Ablett Jr (GCS), BE 117
– Tom Nicholls (GCS), BE 42
– Jack Steven (STK), BE 53
– Tom Rockliff (BRIS), BE 28
– Trent Cotchin (RICH), BE 76
– Dustin Martin (RICH), BE 73
– Joel Selwood (GEE), BE 86
– Corey Enright (GEE), BE 67
– Dan Hannebery (SYD), BE 37
– Tom Mitchell (SYD), BE 64
– Bryce Gibbs (CARL), BE 145
– Jarryd Roughead (HAW), BE 128
– Ryan Griffin (WBD), BE 157
– Brendon Goddard (ESS), BE 152
– Dayne Beams (COLL), BE 187
– Scott Pendlebury (COLL), BE 147
– Dane Swan (COLL), BE 141
– Heath Shaw (COLL), BE 137
– Hamish Hartlett (PORT), BE 110
– Paul Duffield (FRE), BE 142
– Michael Barlow (FRE), BE 143
– David Mundy (FRE), BE 138
– Jimmy Bartel (GEE), BE 144
– Matt Priddis (WCE), BE 145
– Nic Naitanui (WCE), BE 133
– Kieren Jack (SYD), BE 132
– Dean Cox (WCE), BE 149
Thank you once again for your questions. We’re so close to finals, and every decision made could be the difference between a win and a loss. Here are this week’s big questions.
ANSWER: For mine, Danger. This is because he will be back at some point, and with everyone jumping off; he could provide a nice PoD. Also, there’s greater bench cover for our midfielders in contrast to the forwards. Nic Nat’s cooked for this season, and Worsfold could pull the pin at any moment. If worst comes to worst, you’d much rather go into a final with Brad Crouch or Tom Mitchell than Max Gawn or Mark Blicavs. Keep Dangerfield.
ANSWER: Stevie J without question. He’s in freak form, just can’t stay on the park. When he’s playing though, he is serious points. Dustin Martin is another one worth considering. I feel as if he’s starting to gain more consistency, and has stopped floating in and out of games like he used to. He will have GWS in your prelim final, should you make it that deep, so he too should be considered. But, if you’ve got the coin, Stevie J is the best forward in the game right now.
ANSWER: If you’re going for a league win, 8 is the absolute optimal number, but no-one’s going to have that given the outs we’re experiencing. I reckon 6 should put you in a nice position – allows you to make double trades if need be, and the potential to have 4 trades for the prelim and grand finals. Anything below 4 trades, and you’re going to struggle. 6 should be the figure you aim for.
Good luck this weekend community. Send any questions you have to @Mr_Crimmins, or comment below. Finals not far away now, failing to prepare is preparing to fail as the classics say.