Greetings again community,
As most of you all know, I absolutely love youse all that are a part of the Jock Reynolds community. We’ve got something special going on here.
I also love reading through all your team selections. However, as I read through some of the players you’re selecting in your teams, I see some players who I certainly know I will not be choosing in my team for various reasons. So as a result, I’m gonna provide youse all with some free (that’s right, Mr. Crimmins – free) information of some of the most locked in players in people’s teams who I WON’T be selecting in my side.
Greg Broughton – Gold Coast ($441,900 Supercoach)
Firstly I must apologise to the beloved community, in one of my earlier articles I suggested that Broughton could be a good pick in 2013. But after a closer inspection and some more analysis, I’ve done a bit of a backflip!
The price tag is the thing that really scares me off here; at his price I just can’t see enough justification to pick him in my team. Since his debut in 2009, Broughton has only managed more than 15 games in a season once and his average Supercoach scores have been declining over the past three years. As many of you would know, he absolutely BURNT a lot of us in 2012 and with the kind of person I am, I find it very hard to forgive Greg.
Whilst I’m not going to argue that switching clubs wasn’t a good move for Broughton, I really doubt Gold Coast was the right choice for him. The lifestyle of sun, beautiful beaches and girls in bikinis sounds pretty good to me but I don’t think these things will benefit Broughton’s (on-field) career. With injury-prone Nathan Bock likely to miss games through injury, the Suns will have a pretty inexperienced backline. For this reason I feel Broughton will be required to play more of a lock-down role on one of the medium-sized forwards. This will limit his ability to rebound from the backline, ultimately being to the detriment of his fantasy scores.
Once again in 2013 it’s unlikely the Suns are going to win too many games – and as history tells us, defenders don’t maintain decent fantasy scores whilst playing in struggling sides. Bear in mind that this is all based on the assumption that Broughton will return to his natural position in the backline for 2013, if he plays that dreaded forward lockdown role again then it’s most certainly curtains!
Dustin Martin – Richmond ($473,500 Supercoach)
I can hear you community… I really can hear you all yelling and screaming…telling me this will FINALLY be the year Dustin Martin breaks the shackles and becomes an elite AFL player.
The man who has frustrated us fantasy coaches for so long will finally start paying dividends – but I’m afraid Teflon has got the marker out and is about to put a line through him. The issue I have with Dusty is the dude just can’t be trusted. He’s a bit like myself really – still in his younger days and enjoys going out. Obviously I’ve got nothing wrong with that but he’s already fallen into trouble with Dimma Hardwick. Who’s to say that won’t happen again?
Now besides all the off-field stuff, I’m really not sure I can trust Martin on the field either. One word springs to mind when I think of Dustin Martin: inconsistent. On some days he would play like an absolute legend – kicking goals, fending off opponents with his famous ‘’don’t argue’’ and producing match-winning performances – however on other days he looks simply disinterested. After 2011 where he averaged almost 100 Supercoach points, we were all convinced that he’d had that breakout year and he was ready to set the world on fire in 2012. However his average plummeted back down to 88 points. In a year where he was expected to improve dramatically, his career somehow went backwards.
And so it must beg the question: what can we expect next from Dusty? At $473,500 we simply cannot accept another mediocre year from him which is why I will not be picking him. As my old man used to say, he’s too much a Liquorice All Sorts – you just never know what you’re going to get from him. Don’t get me wrong…super player, loads of potential but there’s too much risk. A no from me.
Andrew Embley – West Coast Eagles ($283,600)
Andrew Embley’s an interesting one. The dude was a victim of the dreaded vest last year through a combination of form, injuries and age. For me, there are way too many reasons not to pick him. At 32 he’s certainly not getting any younger and it may need a minor miracle for him to start reproducing that form of his younger days.
The Eagles are a superb football side and have plenty of young guns coming through the ranks – as the season progresses I wouldn’t be surprised if Embley’s spot in the side comes under danger. The subs vest fell to him on several occasions last season and I wouldn’t be surprised if that continued to happen again this year. Plenty of clubs used the subs vest to look after the older players which is great for their conditioning but unfortunately we don’t give a damn about that; us fantasy coaches want our players spending as much time out on the field as possible and the last thing we wanna see is that bloody subs vest on one of our boys!
Injuries only allowed him to play 6 games last season and with an ageing body I can only see similar injuries reoccurring in 2013. In those 6 games he did play in last season he could only manage a paltry 318 Supercoach points at an average of 53. Andrew old dude…you were a champ back in your glory days but your time is just about up. No room for you in Teflon’s Pimps I’m afraid!
Angus Monfries – Port Adelaide ($356,700)
Scrolling down the comments section the other day I couldn’t help but notice the amount of people that are even considering Monfries. What are youse all thinking?! Let’s cut to the chase here; Monfries got the flick from Essendon for a reason – he’s no good! In Monfries’ defence, I did notice that he performed well in the NAB Cup Opening Round. Understandably a few of you got a bit excited over that but it’s worth remembering that Adelaide rested several of their stars in that game and in stifling heat many of the players were just going through the motions.
I’ll tell youse what, it was that hot in Adelaide that day I can only imagine the amount of ice creams I would’ve sold. Similar to Broughton, Gus Monfries is going to play in a team that is going to lose a lot more games than it wins. Ultimately this is going to make it hard for him to rack up big scores consistently. Another thing that staggered me about Monfries was his price tag of $356,700. You’ve gotta be kidding me!! I understand he’s a DPP (MID/FWD) which is important, but at that price there is most certainly better options available than Monfries. If we look through his stats, it doesn’t surprise me at all that Monfries has only averaged above 80 once in his Supercoach career (2011) and has never averaged above 80 in Dream Team.
Monfries is very much an outside player which makes me wonder how he’ll cope with the physicality of the midfield. A lack of contested possessions certainly isn’t going to help his Supercoach scores either. I’m sorry Gussy Boy, but there will not be a spot in my $50,000 winning team for you.
Luke Ball – Collingwood ($301,800 Supercoach)
I do love Lukey Ball, he’s a tough and uncompromising footballer who goes quietly about his business despite all the criticism he has copped over the years. But in terms of selecting him for my fantasy team in 2013, it’s a big no from me. It was a big fat juicy NO even before the news today that he’ll miss round 1. For starters, even when Ball’s career was peaking he was never one too many people selected in their fantasy teams. Often despite having a reasonably good game Ball wouldn’t necessarily score well in fantasy.
He’s the type of player who does a lot of good work that is unrewarded – for example “one-percenters”, shepherds and smothers. AFL coaches love those but it means next to nothing for us fantasy coaches. Ball has never averaged over 100 in Dream Team or Supercoach. His kicking efficiency has never been great either, which is especially bad for Supercoach along with the fact he hardly kicks long or kicks goals. In a packed Pies midfield with the likes of Pendles, Swan and Beams; Ball may even begin to find it hard to lock down his position in the team. At $301,800 after coming back from a ruptured ACL I can understand why many of you are tempted. But unfortunately for Luke I doubt he will ever be the player he was prior to the injury.
Not only that, but as I sit here tapping away in the back of my ice cream van, the news that I’ve known for WEEKS has finally surfaced. He won’t play round 1. And forget the bloke for the whole season mate.
A word of wisdom
When Jock took me into his home and into his heart he learnt me a lot of things about life. One of the things that stuck with me the longest was this:
“It’s not the players that you select that win you Supercoach and Dreamteam Grand Finals son. It’s the players you don’t select”
All the hype goes crazy over the next week my friends. I want all of youse to stop and have a really hard think before locking in these so called “bargains”