With every second that the clock ticks closer to the Round 1 lockout, my urge to play with numbers increases. While I know Champion Data will be releasing NAB Cup stats tomorrow (Wednesday 21st March), I just couldn’t help but fiddle with whatever data I could lay my hands on.
Key decisions relating to Rookie selections need to be made with clear analytical confidence. Drawing on numeric wisdom can offer us this confidence.
I used NAB Cup data and devised a weighting formula that factored in;
- Dual Position Status – A key consideration when trading and dealing with the MONSTER bye rounds.
- The number of NAB Cup games played and whether or not the rookie played in NAB 5 (treated as a dress rehearsal by many clubs).
- A cost per Dream Team Point factor and an overall cost input.
The final Ranking generated was normalised to make the highest ranking player equal to 100.
While numbers don’t lie and numbers don’t have an opinion, the way that they are generated can be biased. These numbers don’t include a few important considerations such as % actual game time, effectiveness of disposal and changes in coaching structures – all important game factors.
However well informed you are take these lists as further food for thought on your quest to locking in those all important rookies into your squads. Use this in conjunction with Jock’s latest rookie cheat sheet of course.
TABLE 1 – THE TOP ROOKIES OVERALL
TABLE 2 – Top 10 DEFENDER ROOKIES